FX.co ★ Jackroay | XAU/USD, GOLD
XAU/USD, GOLD
XAUUSDm M5 — FVG + Order Block Relationship and Market Structure Analysis 1. FVG + Order Block Relationship According to my chart, XAUUSDm on the M5 timeframe is showing a very clear relationship between FVG and Order Block zones, with price moving from a lower demand area toward a major supply area before facing strong rejection. The chart shows that the lower part around 4346–4349 contains a visible Order Block (Demand), while several FVG zones are positioned above and around the bullish expansion. These areas are important because they represent the imbalance created during strong directional movement. I can see that price first spent considerable time consolidating around the lower region before producing a Strong Bullish Move and expanding upward. During this expansion, the candles created areas where price moved quickly, leaving inefficient price delivery that is represented on the chart as FVG. The relationship becomes more important when price later returns toward these areas because an FVG can act as a reaction or continuation zone while an Order Block can provide a broader structural area. On my chart, the demand Order Block is positioned underneath the bullish movement and therefore represents the foundation from which the upward expansion developed. Above it, the FVG zones identify areas of imbalance created during the movement toward the upper structure. At the same time, the large Order Block (Supply) near the 4361–4363 region is acting as the major opposing zone. Therefore, the current structure is not simply bullish or bearish; it is a movement between demand, imbalance, liquidity, and supply. 2. Final Outlook — Bullish Structure at Major Supply The broader structure visible on my chart developed with a bullish recovery from the lower demand region and continued upward through several intraday resistance areas. After price spent time near the lower consolidation, buyers gradually increased pressure and eventually produced a strong upward sequence. The bullish candles pushed price from approximately the 4346–4349 area toward the 4355–4359 region and eventually into the major supply zone around 4361–4363. This movement demonstrates that buyers were able to regain control after the earlier bearish decline. However, the important point is that the bullish structure has reached Major Supply rather than remaining in open space. I would therefore read the structure as bullish while recognizing that the current location is technically sensitive. The upper Order Block (Supply) has already produced a reaction, and the recent candles show that price struggled to maintain the highs around 4363–4365. The long upper wicks around this region show rejection from the higher prices visible on the chart. A bullish structure at supply does not automatically mean immediate continuation; instead, the market needs confirmation through another BOS above the supply area. Until that happens, the upper zone remains an important decision point. From my chart, the bullish move remains structurally visible, but the reaction from supply has temporarily interrupted the momentum. 3. Bearish Rejection Scenario — Supply Reaction The Bearish Rejection Scenario is clearly visible after price entered the upper Order Block (Supply). Price climbed strongly into the 4361–4363 region and produced multiple candles with upper wicks, showing that higher prices were being rejected. Following this rejection, a sequence of bearish candles developed and price moved sharply downward through 4359, 4356, 4354 and toward the 4352–4350 region. This is the most important bearish reaction visible on my chart because the selling did not remain limited to one candle; instead, several bearish candles followed one another and produced a substantial retracement. I interpret this as a supply reaction because the strongest rejection occurred directly inside or around the marked supply zone. The bearish pressure then pushed price away from the upper area and toward lower liquidity. However, the chart does not yet show that the entire higher-timeframe bullish structure has necessarily been erased. The present bearish movement can still be treated as a retracement unless price continues to break important lower structural points. The key observation is therefore the origin of the rejection: sellers became active after price reached the major supply region. If price continues producing lower highs and lower lows on M5, the bearish reaction can extend toward the lower FVG and demand areas. Conversely, if selling loses momentum around the marked lower zones, buyers may attempt another recovery. 4. Bullish Continuation Scenario — BOS Above Supply The Bullish Continuation Scenario on my chart depends primarily on a BOS Above Supply. The upper Order Block (Supply) around the 4361–4363 region is currently the major structural obstacle. Price has already reached this zone once and was rejected, so another bullish attempt would need stronger confirmation than simply touching the area. A decisive movement through the supply boundary, followed by acceptance above it, would change the immediate structure because the previous supply ceiling would no longer be controlling price in the same way. The chart specifically identifies BOS as the confirmation terminology, and I would use that structural break rather than assuming continuation simply from bullish candles. If buyers return from the lower region and push through the recent highs, the first important observation would be whether the candles can sustain themselves above the supply zone. A temporary wick above supply without continuation would not provide the same structural confirmation as a sustained break. I can therefore see two different possibilities from the chart: rejection from supply followed by another retracement, or a successful BOS that opens the way for renewed bullish momentum. The existing bullish leg gives buyers a structural reference, but the supply zone remains the main confirmation point. Until price establishes itself above that region, the bullish continuation scenario remains dependent on the chart’s next structural development. 5. Current Price Action — SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY (SSL) The Current Price Action is positioned below the major supply reaction and is moving toward the area marked as SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY (SSL). After the sharp bearish displacement from the 4361–4363 supply region, price moved lower and eventually approached the 4352–4350 area. The chart marks SSL around the lower-right side, indicating that liquidity exists beneath the recent price structure. This is important because price can move toward visible liquidity before deciding whether to continue lower or reverse. I can see that the recent candles are smaller compared with the earlier bearish expansion, which suggests that the immediate selling pressure has slowed somewhat as price approaches the lower area. However, the direction remains bearish in the most recent visible sequence. If SSL is taken and price continues to close below the nearby structure, the bearish movement can potentially extend toward the lower FVG and eventually toward the Order Block (Demand). If instead price sweeps the liquidity and quickly recovers, that reaction would become important because it could indicate that sellers have completed their immediate liquidity objective. Therefore, I would not treat SSL simply as a fixed support line. On my chart, it is better understood as a liquidity area that can attract price and create the next structural reaction. 6. ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) — Major Selling Zone The ORDER BLOCK (SUPPLY) is the most prominent upper zone on my chart and is positioned around the 4361–4363 price region. This zone became significant because the preceding bullish movement entered the area and then encountered strong selling pressure. The chart shows a broad shaded supply region extending across the upper section, making it different from the smaller FVG boxes. The importance of this Order Block comes from its relationship with the preceding market structure: price rallied into the zone after a substantial bullish expansion, but the subsequent candles could not maintain the same upward momentum. Several upper wicks appeared around the zone before the market turned downward. I therefore consider this the main area where buyers and sellers are currently in conflict. If price revisits this Order Block, I would watch the candle reaction carefully rather than assuming that the zone must automatically hold. A strong rejection would reinforce the bearish reaction already visible on the chart, while a clean BOS above the zone would weaken the current supply reaction. The upper Order Block therefore acts as the primary decision area for the next major directional move visible from this M5 chart. 7. STRONG BULLISH MOVE — Momentum Expansion The STRONG BULLISH MOVE is one of the clearest features of the chart. Before this expansion, price spent a prolonged period fluctuating around the lower 4343–4349 region. The candles were relatively compressed, with repeated attempts to move higher and lower without a sustained directional expansion. The situation changed when buyers began producing consecutive bullish candles and price accelerated upward through the 4350 area. The movement then continued toward 4354, 4356, 4359 and ultimately into the major supply region near 4361–4363. This is what gives the move its momentum-expansion character. The candles became larger and the progression became more directional compared with the preceding consolidation. Such a movement also explains why FVG zones are visible afterward: rapid price expansion can leave areas where price does not trade evenly. From my chart, the bullish expansion is the main reason the overall recovery structure became bullish before reaching supply. However, momentum expansion eventually met opposing liquidity and the upper Order Block. The later bearish reaction demonstrates that momentum can change after reaching a major structural zone. Therefore, I see the strong bullish move as the driving leg that created the current bullish structure, while the present bearish move represents the reaction from the destination zone of that expansion.
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